History & Accuracy
2026 (current)
91-9SU (91.0%)
62-36-2ATS (63.3%)
100 games decided
Calibration — predicted probability vs. actual win rate
Accuracy by confidence bucket
| Segment | N | SU% |
|---|---|---|
| 55-60% | 3 | 66.7% |
| 60-65% | 6 | 66.7% |
| 65-70% | 4 | 50.0% |
| 70-75% | 6 | 83.3% |
| 75-80% | 8 | 87.5% |
| 80-85% | 37 | 97.3% |
| 85-90% | 8 | 100.0% |
| 90-95% | 10 | 100.0% |
| 95-100% | 18 | 94.4% |
By favorite vs. underdog pick
| Segment | N | SU% | ATS% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Picked the favorite | 99 | 90.9% | 62.9% |
| Picked the underdog | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
By home / away / neutral
| Segment | N | SU% | ATS% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neutral site | 4 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Picked home team | 91 | 92.3% | 64.4% |
| Picked away team | 5 | 80.0% | 75.0% |
By conference (picked team)
| Segment | N | SU% | ATS% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big Ten | 18 | 94.4% | 52.9% |
| SEC | 16 | 100.0% | 62.5% |
| Big 12 | 14 | 85.7% | 50.0% |
| ACC | 12 | 91.7% | 72.7% |
| Sun Belt | 10 | 100.0% | 80.0% |
| American Athletic | 8 | 87.5% | 62.5% |
| Mountain West | 7 | 85.7% | 71.4% |
| Mid-American | 5 | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Conference USA | 5 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Pac-12 | 3 | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| FBS Independents | 2 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Week-by-week log
Week 2SU 91-9 · ATS 62-36
Florida A&M @ Miamipicked Miami (91%)✓ Miami 77-7 Florida A&M
Week 1SU 90-9 · ATS 61-36
North Carolina @ TCUpicked TCU (64%)✗ TCU 10-15 North Carolina
San José State @ USCpicked USC (99%)✓ USC 42-26 San José State
NC State @ Virginiapicked Virginia (69%)✓ Virginia 34-8 NC State
Jacksonville State @ North Dakota Statepicked North Dakota State (73%)✓ North Dakota State 33-7 Jacksonville State
Sacramento State @ Eastern Michiganpicked Eastern Michigan (71%)✓ Eastern Michigan 28-17 Sacramento State
New Mexico State @ Florida Statepicked Florida State (97%)✓ Florida State 34-17 New Mexico State
Hawai'i @ Stanfordpicked Stanford (65%)✓ Stanford 37-27 Hawai'i
Memphis @ UNLVpicked UNLV (61%)✗ UNLV 21-27 Memphis
Massachusetts @ Rutgerspicked Rutgers (97%)✗ Rutgers 21-37 Massachusetts
West Georgia @ Kennesaw Statepicked Kennesaw State (80%)✓ Kennesaw State 47-0 West Georgia
UAlbany @ Buffalopicked Buffalo (78%)✓ Buffalo 21-17 UAlbany
Merrimack @ Delawarepicked Delaware (83%)✓ Delaware 42-7 Merrimack
Bethune-Cookman @ UCFpicked UCF (91%)✓ UCF 73-6 Bethune-Cookman
Akron @ Wake Forestpicked Wake Forest (96%)✓ Wake Forest 38-16 Akron
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Missouripicked Missouri (84%)✓ Missouri 54-14 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Colorado @ Georgia Techpicked Georgia Tech (65%)✗ Georgia Tech 13-14 Colorado
Eastern Illinois @ Minnesotapicked Minnesota (84%)✓ Minnesota 59-7 Eastern Illinois
UAB @ Illinoispicked Illinois (95%)✓ Illinois 42-23 UAB
Idaho @ Utahpicked Utah (83%)✓ Utah 66-14 Idaho
San José State @ Eastern Michiganpicked Eastern Michigan (65%)✗ Eastern Michigan 21-27 San José State
North Carolina A&T @ Georgia Statepicked Georgia State (82%)✓ Georgia State 59-10 North Carolina A&T
Indiana State @ Purduepicked Purdue (91%)✓ Purdue 44-19 Indiana State
UTEP @ Oklahomapicked Oklahoma (99%)✓ Oklahoma 51-0 UTEP
Toledo @ Michigan Statepicked Michigan State (81%)✓ Michigan State 30-20 Toledo
Long Island University @ Kansaspicked Kansas (84%)✓ Kansas 51-6 Long Island University
Miami @ Stanfordpicked Miami (95%)✓ Stanford 6-45 Miami
Fresno State @ USCpicked USC (95%)✓ USC 39-0 Fresno State
Oregon State @ Houstonpicked Houston (91%)✓ Houston 33-20 Oregon State
Lafayette @ UConnpicked UConn (80%)✓ UConn 56-7 Lafayette
Liberty @ James Madisonpicked James Madison (71%)✓ James Madison 20-13 Liberty
North Texas @ Indianapicked Indiana (99%)✓ Indiana 52-16 North Texas
East Carolina @ Alabamapicked Alabama (97%)✓ Alabama 48-10 East Carolina
Ohio @ Nebraskapicked Nebraska (96%)✓ Nebraska 49-21 Ohio
Tarleton State @ Bowling Greenpicked Bowling Green (58%)✗ Bowling Green 13-20 Tarleton State
Coastal Carolina @ West Virginiapicked West Virginia (86%)✓ West Virginia 31-24 Coastal Carolina
New Hampshire @ Syracusepicked Syracuse (83%)✓ Syracuse 66-3 New Hampshire
Bryant @ Armypicked Army (83%)✓ Army 59-3 Bryant
Ball State @ Ohio Statepicked Ohio State (100%)✓ Ohio State 56-3 Ball State
Miami (OH) @ Pittsburghpicked Pittsburgh (90%)✓ Pittsburgh 59-14 Miami (OH)
Kent State @ South Carolinapicked South Carolina (99%)✓ South Carolina 57-0 Kent State
Duquesne @ Air Forcepicked Air Force (82%)✓ Air Force 34-0 Duquesne
Youngstown State @ Kentuckypicked Kentucky (85%)✓ Kentucky 45-13 Youngstown State
Southeast Missouri State @ Iowa Statepicked Iowa State (87%)✓ Iowa State 38-10 Southeast Missouri State
Rhode Island @ Templepicked Temple (75%)✓ Temple 38-14 Rhode Island
Tennessee State @ Georgiapicked Georgia (84%)✓ Georgia 63-3 Tennessee State
Marshall @ Penn Statepicked Penn State (95%)✓ Penn State 45-0 Marshall
Texas State @ Texaspicked Texas (97%)✓ Texas 59-7 Texas State
Baylor @ Auburnpicked Auburn (59%)✓ Auburn 17-16 Baylor
The Citadel @ Charlottepicked Charlotte (79%)✗ Charlotte 41-43 The Citadel
Towson @ Navypicked Navy (83%)✓ Navy 42-15 Towson
Tulane @ Dukepicked Duke (82%)✓ Duke 17-3 Tulane
Boston College @ Cincinnatipicked Cincinnati (79%)✓ Cincinnati 34-15 Boston College
Maine @ App Statepicked App State (79%)✓ App State 55-3 Maine
UT Rio Grande Valley @ UTSApicked UTSA (82%)✓ UTSA 45-16 UT Rio Grande Valley
Boise State @ Oregonpicked Oregon (94%)✓ Oregon 34-27 Boise State
Furman @ Tennesseepicked Tennessee (84%)✓ Tennessee 56-9 Furman
Fordham @ North Dakota Statepicked North Dakota State (84%)✓ North Dakota State 38-0 Fordham
Oklahoma State @ Tulsapicked Oklahoma State (71%)✗ Tulsa 24-10 Oklahoma State
Northern Illinois @ Iowapicked Iowa (98%)✓ Iowa 40-0 Northern Illinois
North Alabama @ Arkansaspicked Arkansas (84%)✓ Arkansas 31-14 North Alabama
Alcorn State @ Southern Misspicked Southern Miss (83%)✓ Southern Miss 49-3 Alcorn State
Norfolk State @ Old Dominionpicked Old Dominion (84%)✓ Old Dominion 31-10 Norfolk State
Wyoming @ Colorado Statepicked Colorado State (67%)✓ Colorado State 35-13 Wyoming
Houston Christian @ Ricepicked Rice (80%)✓ Rice 31-3 Houston Christian
Idaho State @ Utah Statepicked Utah State (83%)✗ Utah State 17-29 Idaho State
Arkansas State @ Memphispicked Memphis (84%)✓ Memphis 42-24 Arkansas State
Murray State @ Middle Tennesseepicked Middle Tennessee (84%)✓ Middle Tennessee 38-14 Murray State
Florida International @ South Floridapicked South Florida (85%)✓ South Florida 19-9 Florida International
Abilene Christian @ Texas Techpicked Texas Tech (84%)✓ Texas Tech 33-10 Abilene Christian
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville Statepicked Jacksonville State (80%)✓ Jacksonville State 49-7 Eastern Kentucky
Nicholls @ Kansas Statepicked Kansas State (89%)✓ Kansas State 71-3 Nicholls
Charleston Southern @ Georgia Southernpicked Georgia Southern (82%)✓ Georgia Southern 31-0 Charleston Southern
SE Louisiana @ South Alabamapicked South Alabama (77%)✓ South Alabama 39-14 SE Louisiana
Sam Houston @ Troypicked Troy (86%)✓ Troy 24-21 Sam Houston
Missouri State @ Texas A&Mpicked Texas A&M (99%)✓ Texas A&M 50-0 Missouri State
Austin Peay @ Vanderbiltpicked Vanderbilt (82%)✓ Vanderbilt 28-9 Austin Peay
VMI @ Virginia Techpicked Virginia Tech (84%)✓ Virginia Tech 73-3 VMI
Clemson @ LSUpicked LSU (84%)✓ LSU 51-10 Clemson
UL Monroe @ Mississippi Statepicked Mississippi State (98%)✓ Mississippi State 62-13 UL Monroe
Northwestern State @ Louisiana Techpicked Louisiana Tech (88%)✓ Louisiana Tech 80-6 Northwestern State
Western Michigan @ Michiganpicked Michigan (96%)✓ Michigan 13-12 Western Michigan
Florida Atlantic @ Floridapicked Florida (96%)✓ Florida 66-21 Florida Atlantic
Hampton @ Marylandpicked Maryland (84%)✓ Maryland 62-0 Hampton
Utah Tech @ BYUpicked BYU (88%)✓ BYU 63-7 Utah Tech
South Dakota State @ Northwesternpicked Northwestern (75%)✓ Northwestern 34-18 South Dakota State
Lamar @ Louisianapicked Louisiana (79%)✓ Louisiana 38-7 Lamar
Mercyhurst @ New Mexico Statepicked New Mexico State (82%)✓ New Mexico State 51-14 Mercyhurst
Northern Arizona @ Arizonapicked Arizona (86%)✓ Arizona 35-7 Northern Arizona
Portland State @ San Diego Statepicked San Diego State (84%)✓ San Diego State 53-20 Portland State
Mississippi Valley State @ Sacramento Statepicked Sacramento State (83%)✓ Sacramento State 52-0 Mississippi Valley State
UNLV @ Hawai'ipicked UNLV (64%)✓ Hawai'i 6-21 UNLV
Central Michigan @ New Mexicopicked New Mexico (86%)✓ New Mexico 38-7 Central Michigan
Morgan State @ Arizona Statepicked Arizona State (84%)✓ Arizona State 70-7 Morgan State
Western Kentucky @ Nevadapicked Nevada (57%)✓ Nevada 49-14 Western Kentucky
UCLA @ Californiapicked UCLA (62%)✓ California 24-45 UCLA
Washington State @ Washingtonpicked Washington (93%)✓ Washington 24-10 Washington State
Louisville @ Ole Misspicked Ole Miss (70%)✓ Ole Miss 41-38 Louisville
Wisconsin @ Notre Damepicked Notre Dame (95%)✓ Notre Dame 41-13 Wisconsin
SMU @ Florida Statepicked SMU (61%)✓ Florida State 24-27 SMU